The record · NFL
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks: our pick
We called the Seattle Seahawks at 61%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Los Angeles Chargers 23–30 Seattle Seahawks. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for the Seattle Seahawks: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 13.6 points toward the Seattle Seahawks.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Seattle Seahawks: 2 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 4:50 PM ET at Q1 9:55: Seattle Seahawks 72% to win, called at 61%.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Seattle Seahawks avg margin
- +8.3
Only 3 graded games on Seattle Seahawks so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Seattle Seahawks's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks win chance | 61% | 74% |
| Seattle Seahawks spread | -3 | — |
| Total | 45.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Seattle Seahawks at 61%.
- Market closed with the Seattle Seahawks at 74%, 13.6 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 9:55: the Seattle Seahawks 72% to win, called at 61%.
- Final: Los Angeles Chargers 23–30 Seattle Seahawks. Right.
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