The record · NFL
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: our pick
We called the New Orleans Saints at 55%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 34 days before kickoff.
Final: Atlanta Falcons 45–24 New Orleans Saints. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the New Orleans Saints: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.5 points away from the New Orleans Saints, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the New Orleans Saints: 1 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 20%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 5
- New Orleans Saints avg margin
- -6.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New Orleans Saints's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints win chance | 55% | 54% |
| New Orleans Saints spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 47.5 |
- Pick locked: the New Orleans Saints at 55%.
- Market closed with the New Orleans Saints at 54%, 1.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Atlanta Falcons 45–24 New Orleans Saints. Wrong.
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