The record · NFL
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans: our pick
We called the Houston Texans at 61%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Houston Texans 26–3 Tennessee Titans. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for the Houston Texans: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 14.2 points toward the Houston Texans.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Houston Texans: 1 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 2:05 PM ET at Q2 6:56: Houston Texans 78% to win, called at 61%.
Call 61% Alert 78% at Q2 6:56Last live read 100% (Q4 3:08)
- Our calls right
- 20%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 5
- Houston Texans avg margin
- -5.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Houston Texans's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans win chance | 61% | 75% |
| Houston Texans spread | -3.5 | — |
| Total | 43.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Houston Texans at 61%.
- Market closed with the Houston Texans at 75%, 14.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 6:56: the Houston Texans 78% to win, called at 61%.
- Final: Houston Texans 26–3 Tennessee Titans. Right.
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