The record · NFL
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins: our pick
We called the Cincinnati Bengals at 70%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Cincinnati Bengals 31–24 Miami Dolphins. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for the Cincinnati Bengals: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 3.5 points toward the Cincinnati Bengals.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Cincinnati Bengals: 1 right.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 1:13 PM ET at Q1 14:03: Cincinnati Bengals 85% to win, called at 70%.
Call 70% Alert 85% at Q1 14:03Last live read 99% (Q4 1:22)
- Our calls right
- 20%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 5
- Cincinnati Bengals avg margin
- +5.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Cincinnati Bengals's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals win chance | 70% | 73% |
| Cincinnati Bengals spread | -5.5 | — |
| Total | 49.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Cincinnati Bengals at 70%.
- Market closed with the Cincinnati Bengals at 73%, 3.5 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 14:03: the Cincinnati Bengals 85% to win, called at 70%.
- Final: Cincinnati Bengals 31–24 Miami Dolphins. Right.
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