The record · NFL
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints: our pick
We called the Minnesota Vikings at 51%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Minnesota Vikings 23–13 New Orleans Saints. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 51% is the betting market's own price for the Minnesota Vikings: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 4.9 points toward the Minnesota Vikings, and the spread went from -1.5 to +1.5.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Minnesota Vikings: 3 right.
At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 1:47 PM ET at Q2 10:38: Minnesota Vikings 61% to win, called at 51%.
Call 51% Alert 61% at Q2 10:38Last live read 99% (Q4 2:49)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Minnesota Vikings avg margin
- +1.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Minnesota Vikings's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings win chance | 51% | 56% |
| Minnesota Vikings spread | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 41.5 |
- Pick locked: the Minnesota Vikings at 51%.
- Market closed with the Minnesota Vikings at 56%, 4.9 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 10:38: the Minnesota Vikings 61% to win, called at 51%.
- Final: Minnesota Vikings 23–13 New Orleans Saints. Right.
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