The record · NFL
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets: our pick
We called the New York Jets at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Cleveland Browns 12–17 New York Jets. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the New York Jets: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.1 points away from the New York Jets, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the New York Jets: 4 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 1:19 PM ET at Q1 9:12: New York Jets 75% to win, called at 56%.
Call 56% Alert 75% at Q1 9:12Last live read 93% (Q4 1:41)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- New York Jets avg margin
- -5.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New York Jets's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New York Jets win chance | 56% | 55% |
| New York Jets spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 38.5 | 39.5 |
- Pick locked: the New York Jets at 56%.
- Market closed with the New York Jets at 55%, 0.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 9:12: the New York Jets 75% to win, called at 56%.
- Final: Cleveland Browns 12–17 New York Jets. Right.
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