The record · NFL
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers: our pick
We called the Pittsburgh Steelers at 55%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Indianapolis Colts 22–34 Pittsburgh Steelers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the Pittsburgh Steelers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 2.3 points toward the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Pittsburgh Steelers: 3 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 1:23 PM ET at Q1 8:45: Pittsburgh Steelers 67% to win, called at 55%.
Call 55% Alert 67% at Q1 8:45Last live read 99% (Q4 1:14)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Pittsburgh Steelers avg margin
- -2.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Pittsburgh Steelers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers win chance | 55% | 57% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 43.5 |
- Pick locked: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 55%.
- Market closed with the Pittsburgh Steelers at 57%, 2.3 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:45: the Pittsburgh Steelers 67% to win, called at 55%.
- Final: Indianapolis Colts 22–34 Pittsburgh Steelers. Right.
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