The record · NFL
New York Giants at Washington Commanders: our pick
We called the Washington Commanders at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: New York Giants 27–27 Washington Commanders. A tie, so not graded.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the Washington Commanders: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 6.4 points toward the Washington Commanders, and the spread went from -2.5 to -4.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Washington Commanders: 4 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 1:13 PM ET at Q1 13:00: Washington Commanders 73% to win, called at 56%.
Call 56% Alert 73% at Q1 13:00Last live read 51% (Q4 1:43)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Washington Commanders avg margin
- -14.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Washington Commanders's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders win chance | 56% | 62% |
| Washington Commanders spread | -2.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: the Washington Commanders at 56%.
- Market closed with the Washington Commanders at 62%, 6.4 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 13:00: the Washington Commanders 73% to win, called at 56%.
- Final: New York Giants 27–27 Washington Commanders. A tie, so not graded.
Fingerprint
7161efc30f86ffb5f17087dcbceb5304403ef130087dd01d76aa046e72b73597