The record · NFL
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: our pick
We called the Green Bay Packers at 61%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Chicago Bears 7–31 Green Bay Packers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for the Green Bay Packers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 14.0 points away from the Green Bay Packers, and the spread went from -3.5 to -1.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Green Bay Packers: 4 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 1:23 PM ET at Q1 5:45: Green Bay Packers 79% to win, called at 61%.
Call 61% Alert 79% at Q1 5:45Last live read 100% (Q4 1:03)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Green Bay Packers avg margin
- -5.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Green Bay Packers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers win chance | 61% | 47% |
| Green Bay Packers spread | -3.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 45.5 |
- Pick locked: the Green Bay Packers at 61%.
- Market closed with the Green Bay Packers at 47%, 14.0 points away from our side.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 5:45: the Green Bay Packers 79% to win, called at 61%.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Chicago Bears 7–31 Green Bay Packers. Right.
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