The record · NFL
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: our pick
We called the Seattle Seahawks at 65%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: San Francisco 49ers 32–29 Seattle Seahawks. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 65% is the betting market's own price for the Seattle Seahawks: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 4.1 points away from the Seattle Seahawks.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Seattle Seahawks: 3 right.
At 65%, a pick like this still loses about 35 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 11, 7:08 PM ET at Q4 15:00: Seattle Seahawks 82% to win, called at 65%.
Call 65% Alert 82% at Q4 15:00Last live read 4% (Q4 0:47)
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Seattle Seahawks avg margin
- +8.0
Only 4 graded games on Seattle Seahawks so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Seattle Seahawks's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks win chance | 65% | 60% |
| Seattle Seahawks spread | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 46.5 |
- Pick locked: the Seattle Seahawks at 65%.
- Market closed with the Seattle Seahawks at 60%, 4.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 15:00: the Seattle Seahawks 82% to win, called at 65%.
- Final: San Francisco 49ers 32–29 Seattle Seahawks. Wrong.
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