The record · NFL
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons: our pick
We called the Baltimore Ravens at 64%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 40 days before kickoff.
Final: Baltimore Ravens 30–23 Atlanta Falcons. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 64% is the betting market's own price for the Baltimore Ravens: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 24.7 points away from the Baltimore Ravens, and the spread went from -4.5 to +3.5.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Baltimore Ravens: 4 right.
At 64%, a pick like this still loses about 36 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 64%Last live read 8% (Q4 2:00)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Baltimore Ravens avg margin
- +11.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Baltimore Ravens's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens win chance | 64% | 40% |
| Baltimore Ravens spread | -4.5 | +3.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 43.5 |
- Pick locked: the Baltimore Ravens at 64%.
- Market closed with the Baltimore Ravens at 40%, 24.7 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Baltimore Ravens 30–23 Atlanta Falcons. Right.
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