The record · NFL
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos: our pick
We called the Seattle Seahawks at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 44 days before kickoff.
Final: Seattle Seahawks 14–17 Denver Broncos. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Seattle Seahawks: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 3.6 points toward the Seattle Seahawks.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Seattle Seahawks: 3 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 53%Last live read 50% (Q4 0:03)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Seattle Seahawks avg margin
- +5.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Seattle Seahawks's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks win chance | 53% | 57% |
| Seattle Seahawks spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 43.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Seattle Seahawks at 53%.
- Market closed with the Seattle Seahawks at 57%, 3.6 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Seattle Seahawks 14–17 Denver Broncos. Wrong.
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