The record · NFL
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: our pick
We called the Indianapolis Colts at 66%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 47 days before kickoff.
Final: Tennessee Titans 26–20 Indianapolis Colts. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 66% is the betting market's own price for the Indianapolis Colts: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 9.4 points toward the Indianapolis Colts, and the spread went from -3.5 to -13.5.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Indianapolis Colts: 4 right.
At 66%, a pick like this still loses about 34 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 18, 1:56 PM ET at Q2 9:41: Indianapolis Colts 83% to win, called at 66%.
Call 66% Alert 83% at Q2 9:41Last live read 1% (Q4 0:13)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Indianapolis Colts avg margin
- -2.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Indianapolis Colts's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts win chance | 66% | 75% |
| Indianapolis Colts spread | -3.5 | -13.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 41.5 |
- Pick locked: the Indianapolis Colts at 66%.
- Market closed with the Indianapolis Colts at 75%, 9.4 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 9:41: the Indianapolis Colts 83% to win, called at 66%.
- Final: Tennessee Titans 26–20 Indianapolis Colts. Wrong.
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