The record · NFL
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants: our pick
We called the New York Giants at 59%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 47 days before kickoff.
Final: New Orleans Saints 34–27 New York Giants. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the New York Giants: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 9.0 points away from the New York Giants, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 6 graded calls on the New York Giants: 5 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 18, 1:27 PM ET at Q1 5:14: New York Giants 78% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 78% at Q1 5:14Last live read 0% (Q4 0:06)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- New York Giants avg margin
- +4.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New York Giants's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New York Giants win chance | 59% | 50% |
| New York Giants spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 45.5 |
- Pick locked: the New York Giants at 59%.
- Market closed with the New York Giants at 50%, 9.0 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 5:14: the New York Giants 78% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: New Orleans Saints 34–27 New York Giants. Wrong.
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