The record · NFL
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: our pick
We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 47 days before kickoff.
Final: Los Angeles Chargers 6–22 Kansas City Chiefs. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 21.8 points toward the Kansas City Chiefs.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Kansas City Chiefs: 5 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 18, 4:48 PM ET at Q1 6:45: Kansas City Chiefs 81% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 81% at Q1 6:45Last live read 100% (Q4 0:56)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 5 of 5
- Kansas City Chiefs avg margin
- +8.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Kansas City Chiefs's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs win chance | 57% | 79% |
| Kansas City Chiefs spread | -2.5 | — |
| Total | 46.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Kansas City Chiefs at 57%.
- Market closed with the Kansas City Chiefs at 79%, 21.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 6:45: the Kansas City Chiefs 81% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: Los Angeles Chargers 6–22 Kansas City Chiefs. Right.
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