The record · NFL
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers: our pick
We called the Green Bay Packers at 62%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 47 days before kickoff.
Final: Dallas Cowboys 13–23 Green Bay Packers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 62% is the betting market's own price for the Green Bay Packers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 9.4 points away from the Green Bay Packers, and the spread went from -3 to -1.5.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Green Bay Packers: 5 right.
At 62%, a pick like this still loses about 38 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 18, 8:47 PM ET at Q1 4:43: Green Bay Packers 80% to win, called at 62%.
Call 62% Alert 80% at Q1 4:43Last live read 100% (Q4 0:44)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Green Bay Packers avg margin
- -1.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Green Bay Packers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers win chance | 62% | 52% |
| Green Bay Packers spread | -3 | -1.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 52.5 |
- Pick locked: the Green Bay Packers at 62%.
- Market closed with the Green Bay Packers at 52%, 9.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 4:43: the Green Bay Packers 80% to win, called at 62%.
- Final: Dallas Cowboys 13–23 Green Bay Packers. Right.
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