The record · NFL
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints: our pick
We called the Pittsburgh Steelers at 55%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 16–10 New Orleans Saints. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the Pittsburgh Steelers: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 5.6 points toward the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the spread went from -1.5 to -2.5.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Pittsburgh Steelers: 4 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 12:03 PM ET at Q4 15:00: Pittsburgh Steelers 83% to win, called at 55%.
Call 55% Alert 83% at Q4 15:00Last live read 96% (Q4 1:04)
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Pittsburgh Steelers avg margin
- +0.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Pittsburgh Steelers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers win chance | 55% | 60% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers spread | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 44.5 |
- Pick locked: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 55%.
- Market closed with the Pittsburgh Steelers at 60%, 5.6 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 15:00: the Pittsburgh Steelers 83% to win, called at 55%.
- Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 16–10 New Orleans Saints. Right.
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