The record · NFL
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans: our pick
We called the Tennessee Titans at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.
Final: Cleveland Browns 27–24 Tennessee Titans. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Tennessee Titans: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 12.0 points away from the Tennessee Titans, and the spread went from -3 to +3.5.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Tennessee Titans: 4 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 1:17 PM ET at Q1 12:51: Tennessee Titans 76% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 76% at Q1 12:51Last live read 50% (Q4 0:03)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Tennessee Titans avg margin
- -6.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Tennessee Titans's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans win chance | 57% | 45% |
| Tennessee Titans spread | -3 | +3.5 |
| Total | 38.5 | 37 |
- Pick locked: the Tennessee Titans at 57%.
- Market closed with the Tennessee Titans at 45%, 12.0 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 12:51: the Tennessee Titans 76% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: Cleveland Browns 27–24 Tennessee Titans. Wrong.
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