The record · NFL
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: our pick
We called the New York Jets at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.
Final: Miami Dolphins 28–25 New York Jets. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the New York Jets: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 9.9 points toward the New York Jets.
Our last 7 graded calls on the New York Jets: 6 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 57%Last live read 6% (Q4 1:13)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 5 of 5
- New York Jets avg margin
- -4.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New York Jets's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New York Jets win chance | 57% | 67% |
| New York Jets spread | -2.5 | — |
| Total | 40.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the New York Jets at 57%.
- Market closed with the New York Jets at 67%, 9.9 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Miami Dolphins 28–25 New York Jets. Wrong.
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