The record · NFL
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: our pick
We called the Denver Broncos at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Denver Broncos: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Denver Broncos: 5 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Denver Broncos avg margin
- +3.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Denver Broncos's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos win chance | 53% | — |
| Denver Broncos spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 43.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Denver Broncos at 53%.
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