The record · NFL
New England Patriots at Detroit Lions: our pick
We called the Detroit Lions at 51%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 75 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 51% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Lions: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Detroit Lions: 5 right.
At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Detroit Lions avg margin
- +3.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Detroit Lions's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions win chance | 51% | — |
| Detroit Lions spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 49.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Detroit Lions at 51%.
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