The record · NFL

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins: our pick

We called the Miami Dolphins at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 89 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Miami Dolphins: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Miami Dolphins: 7 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

Fingerprint

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Entry #189 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →