The record · NFL

Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns: our pick

We called the Cleveland Browns at 50%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 103 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 50% is the betting market's own price for the Cleveland Browns: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 7 graded calls on the Cleveland Browns: 2 right.

At 50%, a pick like this still loses about 50 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

Fingerprint

457a4e09256fe3c4aa7e9524c37cd3b52e9ab03f960d9364f3204a46672270ef

Entry #249 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →