The record · NFL
Houston Texans at Washington Commanders: our pick
We called the Houston Texans at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 103 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Houston Texans: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Houston Texans: 3 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Houston Texans avg margin
- +2.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Houston Texans's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans win chance | 52% | — |
| Houston Texans spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 43.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Houston Texans at 52%.
Fingerprint
9d0db66b2a96abb3a94393c5facd30acdd016a40a7fcc756e91a6275a79e36ee