The record · NFL

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts: our pick

We called the Cincinnati Bengals at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 116 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Cincinnati Bengals: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Cincinnati Bengals: 2 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

Fingerprint

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Entry #150 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →