The record · NFL

San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs: our pick

We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 59%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 117 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 7 graded calls on the Kansas City Chiefs: 7 right.

At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

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Entry #194 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →