The record · NFL
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots: our pick
We called the New England Patriots at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 123 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 8 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 6 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- New England Patriots avg margin
- +0.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New England Patriots's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots win chance | 56% | — |
| New England Patriots spread | -3 | — |
| Total | 42.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the New England Patriots at 56%.
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