The record · NFL
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons: our pick
We called the Atlanta Falcons at 54%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 124 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 54% is the betting market's own price for the Atlanta Falcons: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Atlanta Falcons: 4 right.
At 54%, a pick like this still loses about 46 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Atlanta Falcons avg margin
- -0.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Atlanta Falcons's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons win chance | 54% | — |
| Atlanta Falcons spread | -2.5 | — |
| Total | 43.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Atlanta Falcons at 54%.
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