The record · NFL

Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns: our pick

We called the Indianapolis Colts at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 124 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the Indianapolis Colts: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 9 graded calls on the Indianapolis Colts: 5 right.

At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

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Entry #129 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →