The record · NFL
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: our pick
We called the Buffalo Bills at 75%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 124 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for the Buffalo Bills: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Buffalo Bills: 5 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Buffalo Bills avg margin
- +4.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo Bills's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills win chance | 75% | — |
| Buffalo Bills spread | -7.5 | — |
| Total | 47.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Buffalo Bills at 75%.
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