The record · NFL

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: our pick

We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 77%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 130 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 77% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 6 graded calls on the Kansas City Chiefs: 6 right.

At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

Fingerprint

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Entry #237 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →