The record · NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken: our pick
We called the Toronto Maple Leafs at 55%, locked Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Toronto Maple Leafs 4–5 Seattle Kraken. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the Toronto Maple Leafs: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 10 graded calls on the Toronto Maple Leafs: 4 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 20%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 5
- Toronto Maple Leafs avg margin
- +1.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Toronto Maple Leafs's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs win chance | 55% | 55% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Toronto Maple Leafs at 55%.
- Market closed with the Toronto Maple Leafs at 55%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Toronto Maple Leafs 4–5 Seattle Kraken. Wrong.
Fingerprint
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