The record · SOCCER
Napoli at Monza: our pick
We called Napoli at 57%, locked Oct 28, 2:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Napoli 4–1 Monza. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for Napoli: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 3.7 points toward Napoli.
Our last 3 graded calls on Napoli: 2 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Napoli avg margin
- 0.0
Only 3 graded games on Napoli so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Napoli's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli win chance | 57% | 61% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: Napoli at 57%.
- Market closed with Napoli at 61%, 3.7 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Napoli 4–1 Monza. Right.
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