The record · SOCCER
Lecce at Frosinone: our pick
We called Frosinone at 57%, locked Oct 29, 11:30 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Lecce 1–5 Frosinone. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for Frosinone: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.4 points toward Frosinone.
Our last 2 graded calls on Frosinone: 2 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Frosinone avg margin
- -0.5
Only 2 graded games on Frosinone so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Frosinone's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone win chance | 57% | 59% |
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 |
- Pick locked: Frosinone at 57%.
- Market closed with Frosinone at 59%, 1.4 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Lecce 1–5 Frosinone. Right.
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