The record · SOCCER
Bologna at AC Milan: our pick
We called AC Milan at 57%, locked Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Bologna 4–2 AC Milan. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for AC Milan: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.7 points toward AC Milan.
Our last 2 graded calls on AC Milan: 2 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- AC Milan avg margin
- +1.5
Only 2 graded games on AC Milan so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: AC Milan's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan win chance | 57% | 57% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: AC Milan at 57%.
- Market closed with AC Milan at 57%, 0.7 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Bologna 4–2 AC Milan. Wrong.
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