Wisconsin at Iowa: our pick
We called Iowa at 56%, locked Oct 31, 10:00 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Wisconsin 0–30 Iowa. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for Iowa: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on Iowa: 3 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 12:48 PM ET at Q1 0:55: Iowa 83% to win, called at 56%.
Call 56% Alert 83% at Q1 0:55Last live read 100% (Q4 1:44)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Iowa avg margin
- +7.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Iowa's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa win chance | 56% | 56% |
| Iowa spread | +1 | +1 |
| Total | 36.5 | 36.5 |
- Pick locked: Iowa at 56%.
- Market closed with Iowa at 56%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 0:55: Iowa 83% to win, called at 56%.
- Final: Wisconsin 0–30 Iowa. Right.
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