Illinois at Maryland: our pick
We called Illinois at 55%, locked Oct 31, 10:00 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Illinois 20–17 Maryland. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Illinois: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Illinois: 1 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 2:48 PM ET at Q4 11:39: Illinois 71% to win, called at 55%.
Call 55% Alert 71% at Q4 11:39Last live read 51% (Q4 1:35)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Illinois avg margin
- +1.7
Only 3 graded games on Illinois so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Illinois's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Illinois win chance | 55% | 55% |
| Illinois spread | -1 | -1 |
| Total | 53.5 | 53.5 |
- Pick locked: Illinois at 55%.
- Market closed with Illinois at 55%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 11:39: Illinois 71% to win, called at 55%.
- Final: Illinois 20–17 Maryland. Right.
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