UAB at South Florida: our pick
We called South Florida at 75%, locked Oct 31, 10:00 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: UAB 10–30 South Florida. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for South Florida: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on South Florida: 2 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 1:43 PM ET at Q2 0:37: South Florida 88% to win, called at 75%.
Call 75% Alert 88% at Q2 0:37Last live read 100% (Q4 4:36)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- South Florida avg margin
- +5.3
Only 3 graded games on South Florida so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: South Florida's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| South Florida win chance | 75% | 75% |
- Pick locked: South Florida at 75%.
- Market closed with South Florida at 75%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 0:37: South Florida 88% to win, called at 75%.
- Final: UAB 10–30 South Florida. Right.
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