Marshall at Old Dominion: our pick
We called Marshall at 57%, locked Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Marshall 36–23 Old Dominion. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for Marshall: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Marshall: 2 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 1:17 PM ET at Q1 12:49: Marshall 76% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 76% at Q1 12:49Last live read 99% (Q4 2:00)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Marshall avg margin
- -5.3
Only 4 graded games on Marshall so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Marshall's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Marshall win chance | 57% | 57% |
| Marshall spread | +1 | +1 |
| Total | 45.5 | 45.5 |
- Pick locked: Marshall at 57%.
- Market closed with Marshall at 57%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 12:49: Marshall 76% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: Marshall 36–23 Old Dominion. Right.
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