Ball State at UMass: our pick
Our pick: UMass at 60%, locked Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Ball State 30–31 UMass. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 60% is the betting market's own price for UMass: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where our pick locked.
Our last 5 graded picks on UMass: 4 right.
At 60%, a pick like this still loses about 40 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our picks right
- 80%
- Picks graded
- 4 of 5
- UMass avg margin
- +3.4
Our pick right Our pick wrongBar height: UMass's final margin
| Since the pick locked | At lock | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UMass win chance | 60% | 60% |
| UMass spread | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 49.5 | 49.5 |
- Pick locked: UMass at 60%.
- Market closed with UMass at 60%, where our pick locked.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Ball State 30–31 UMass. Right.
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