The record · NBA

LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors: our pick

We called the Golden State Warriors at 53%, locked Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Not played yet.

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Golden State Warriors: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points toward the Golden State Warriors, and the spread went from -1.5 to -2.5.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Golden State Warriors: 3 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 9:23 PM ET at Q2 5:12: Golden State Warriors 68% to win, called at 53%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

More on these teams

Golden State Warriors

LA Clippers

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Entry #1216 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →