Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers: our pick
We called the Cleveland Cavaliers at 61%, locked Nov 2, 5:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 117–112 Cleveland Cavaliers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for the Cleveland Cavaliers: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points toward the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Cleveland Cavaliers: 8 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 2, 7:17 PM ET at Q1 8:44: Cleveland Cavaliers 73% to win, called at 61%.
Call 61% Alert 73% at 8:44 - 1stLast live read 1% (0.0 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 5 of 5
- Cleveland Cavaliers avg margin
- +7.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Cleveland Cavaliers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers win chance | 61% | 62% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers spread | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 229.5 | 229.5 |
- Pick locked: the Cleveland Cavaliers at 61%.
- Market closed with the Cleveland Cavaliers at 62%, 0.5 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:44: the Cleveland Cavaliers 73% to win, called at 61%.
- Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 117–112 Cleveland Cavaliers. Wrong.
More on these teams
Cleveland Cavaliers
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