Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers: our pick
We called the Atlanta Hawks at 79%, locked Nov 2, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Atlanta Hawks 108–104 Indiana Pacers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 79% is the betting market's own price for the Atlanta Hawks: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points toward the Atlanta Hawks.
Our last 9 graded calls on the Atlanta Hawks: 4 right.
At 79%, a pick like this still loses about 21 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET at Q1 3:30: Atlanta Hawks 91% to win, called at 79%.
Call 79% Alert 91% at 3:30 - 1stLast live read 100% (End of 4th)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Atlanta Hawks avg margin
- -9.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Atlanta Hawks's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks win chance | 79% | 80% |
| Atlanta Hawks spread | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| Total | 229.5 | 226.5 |
- Pick locked: the Atlanta Hawks at 79%.
- Market closed with the Atlanta Hawks at 80%, 0.5 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 3:30: the Atlanta Hawks 91% to win, called at 79%.
- Final: Atlanta Hawks 108–104 Indiana Pacers. Right.
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