Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic: our pick
We called the Orlando Magic at 59%, locked Nov 2, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Washington Wizards 103–94 Orlando Magic. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Orlando Magic: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.2 points away from the Orlando Magic, and the spread went from -3.5 to -2.5.
Our last 9 graded calls on the Orlando Magic: 5 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 2, 7:47 PM ET at Q1 7:38: Orlando Magic 71% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 71% at 7:38 - 1stLast live read 1% (38.3 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Orlando Magic avg margin
- -9.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Orlando Magic's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic win chance | 59% | 58% |
| Orlando Magic spread | -3.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 224.5 | 224.5 |
- Pick locked: the Orlando Magic at 59%.
- Market closed with the Orlando Magic at 58%, 1.2 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 7:38: the Orlando Magic 71% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: Washington Wizards 103–94 Orlando Magic. Wrong.
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