Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets: our pick
We called the Denver Nuggets at 62%, locked Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Portland Trail Blazers 118–110 Denver Nuggets. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 62% is the betting market's own price for the Denver Nuggets: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Denver Nuggets: 6 right.
At 62%, a pick like this still loses about 38 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 2, 9:13 PM ET at Q1 10:36: Denver Nuggets 73% to win, called at 62%.
Call 62% Alert 73% at 10:36 - 1stLast live read 1% (End of 4th)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Denver Nuggets avg margin
- -1.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Denver Nuggets's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets win chance | 62% | 62% |
| Denver Nuggets spread | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 231.5 | 231.5 |
- Pick locked: the Denver Nuggets at 62%.
- Market closed with the Denver Nuggets at 62%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 10:36: the Denver Nuggets 73% to win, called at 62%.
- Final: Portland Trail Blazers 118–110 Denver Nuggets. Wrong.
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