The record · NBA

Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics: our pick

Our pick: the Boston Celtics at 82%, locked Nov 4, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 82% is the betting market's own price for the Boston Celtics: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 1.2 points toward the Boston Celtics, and the spread went from -11.5 to -12.5.

Our last 10 graded picks on the Boston Celtics: 8 right.

At 82%, a pick like this still loses about 18 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

Boston Celtics

Milwaukee Bucks

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Entry #1280 in the chain. Check this pick yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every pick, graded →