The record · NFL

Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals: our pick

We called the Chicago Bears at 53%, locked Aug 22, 12:15 PM ET, 6 hours before kickoff.

Final: Chicago Bears 9–27 Cincinnati Bengals. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Chicago Bears: 11 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

We have no graded calls on the Chicago Bears yet.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Cincinnati Bengals

Chicago Bears

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Entry #5 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →