Parma at Atalanta: our pick
We called Atalanta at 67%, locked Nov 2, 1:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Parma 3–0 Atalanta. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 67% is the betting market's own price for Atalanta: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 2.4 points toward Atalanta.
Our last 2 graded calls on Atalanta: 2 right.
At 67%, a pick like this still loses about 33 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Atalanta avg margin
- +0.5
Only 2 graded games on Atalanta so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Atalanta's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta win chance | 67% | 69% |
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 |
- Pick locked: Atalanta at 67%.
- Market closed with Atalanta at 69%, 2.4 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Parma 3–0 Atalanta. Wrong.
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