AJ Auxerre at Strasbourg: our pick
We called Strasbourg at 53%, locked Nov 1, 7:00 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: AJ Auxerre 1–5 Strasbourg. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for Strasbourg: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Strasbourg: 2 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Strasbourg avg margin
- -1.5
Only 2 graded games on Strasbourg so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Strasbourg's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg win chance | 53% | 53% |
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 |
- Pick locked: Strasbourg at 53%.
- Market closed with Strasbourg at 53%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: AJ Auxerre 1–5 Strasbourg. Right.
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