Brest at Lorient: our pick
We called Lorient at 38%, locked Nov 2, 1:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Brest 2–0 Lorient. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 38% is the betting market's own price for Lorient: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Lorient: 0 right.
At 38%, a pick like this still loses about 62 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 2
- Lorient avg margin
- +1.0
Only 2 graded games on Lorient so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Lorient's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient win chance | 38% | 38% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: Lorient at 38%.
- Market closed with Lorient at 38%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Brest 2–0 Lorient. Wrong.
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